This year gold is expected to peak at just over $1900 per ounce with an average price gold of $1730 per ounce. Expectations are down from what many had predicted for this year, however, these prices are still historically high. It is now thought gold will finally break the $2000 per ounce mark in 2013.
Why the change in prediction? There is now a huge supply of gold and the excess could total $130 billion dollars for 2012. In order to sustain that amount of surplus there must be huge investment interest in gold to move the spot gold up. In addition, demand for gold jewelry is down contributing to the failure for gold surge upward, and the stronger dollar has kept pressure on gold as well.
Yet, gold does remain at a high spot price that is almost all thanks to the continued debt mess in Europe. Spain and Britain are now in recession, the US economy while growing is weak, and interest rates continue to remain low. Plus, some believe gold is in the midst of a price correction.
While gold is likely to hit $2000 per ounce next year it will probably be short lived, especially if it occurs later in the year. This is because interest rates are expected to rise in 2014, and this will work against gold. Still, gold will not be in for hard landing if indeed the current bull market ends in 2014. There will be enough bad economic news to keep gold relatively high, and gold will likely have a soft landing at worst.
Even though gold has not taken off as many investors had hoped, it is still is the best hedge going against the down economy and unstable stocks. High oil prices threaten a return of inflation, and investing in gold is a prudent move because of this. If given the choice to acquire dollars, stocks, bonds, or gold, the right option is gold. This metal has protected investors for centuries; it makes no sense to give up on it now.
On the whole, gold is expected to peak at about $1900 per ounce this year, but will probably not hit a new record until 2013. The over-supply of gold, the stronger dollar, and with gold jewelry demand down has kept gold from soaring upward. On the other hand, gold has remained steady and continues to offer a high $1600 per ounce spot price. Gold is still the best safe haven going.
It is always a nice thing when we can find the silver lining to a dark cloud. The fact is that the state of the world as it is today can seem a bit overwhelming sometimes in its gloominess. For several years now we have had to deal with a world wide economy that has been a hardship for many people. During these times, people have lost their jobs, people have lost their homes, and people have lost their financial health and freedom. However, among this great deal of sad news has been those rays of light, those perhaps unlooked for opportunities that we can use to turn our fortunes around and give us our confidence back, allow us to restore ourselves to financial vitality. And among those rays of light, those silver linings to the dark clouds of doubt, are another shining thing, the rising gold price that has been allowing folks to not only protect their personal wealth but to grow and prosper as well.
The truth of the matter is that the gold price has been on the rise over the course of several years. Much of this upward pressure on the value of gold has to do with the fact that this metal, this real and tangible good, is a commodity that people have great faith in. For hundreds and even thousands of years, gold has held a position of authority, being the measuring stick of value by which we determine the worth of many other goods and services. Because gold has the unique ability to maintain its value even during difficult economic times, it has gained this authority of value. Thus, when the economic climate turns for the worse, as it has over the past several years, demand for gold increases as people return to this commodity of trust. This flight to quality quite naturally leads to higher demand for gold and thus to a rising gold price.
This phenomenon of a flight to quality and the resultant upward pressures on the gold price has been demonstrated many times throughout history. In the 1970s, for example, when the nation was dealing with runaway inflation and near historic levels of unemployment, the demand for gold increased, driving prices for the metal higher and higher. Thus, those who had made wise purchases of gold found that not only was their personal wealth protected, they also had gained the opportunity to make significant profits on their gold holdings. For many, the same holds true today.
Why are there so many people interested in the price gold shows every day? Even though we all know that it is highly advisable to diversify our investment portfolio by adding to it some precious metals such as silver, gold, platinum or palladium, the truth is that most amateur and experienced investors still rely on investing in gold as they consider it a solid refuge not only against inflation but also against the ups and downs and twists and turns of the financial markets.
In fact, an increasing number of investors have already started buying gold bullion coins and bars and have learnt to follow avidly the price gold shows in the different online and offline charts that are available in the market. According to experts, the extraordinary positive tendency that the price of gold has experienced over the last twenty years will not experience any dramatic change any time soon. But despite this good news, many investors are worried about which factors influence the price gold shows. Let’s analyze them.
The value of the American dollar is one of the factors that may alter the price gold experiences. As one of the most important currency units across the world, the American dollar is a worldwide benchmark whose ups and downs and twists and turns do not only make the financial markets shake but also affects the performance of other markets and very important industry sectors. Generally speaking, people have always considered the US dollar as a good investment option and it is their first choice as an investment alternative. However, when this currency unit seems shaky in the eyes of the investors, they turn their eyes to precious metals, especially gold. Thus, when the price of the dollar falls, the price gold shows on charts is usually higher because there is more demand for this precious metal.
Another worth mentioning factor is highly related to the production of this precious metal in itself. As gold is a commodity, the price gold shows in the different charts is highly related to its demand and supply. Therefore, when mining companies have more exploitation costs or have to pay more taxes for their mining activity, the price gold experiences generally suffers an increase in their monetary value. This tendency can even be emphasized by more or less slight changes in the supply and demand for this precious metal. In other words, the higher the demand, the higher the price of gold will be.
Gold bars are a collectible form of the element of gold, or AU. Where is the world’s gold supply coming from? Some of the largest producers include South Africa, as they account for 50% of the total world supply of gold—as mined throughout human history! As of the year 2007, 272 tons of gold are being produced every year. In the 1970s, the total production of gold was much higher, being about 1,000 tons a year. What happened?
A lot has changed in the world scene, including greater difficulty in extraction, changing economic factors and various political climates. Only recently has China displaced South Africa as the world’s largest gold producer. Other countries that mine gold in high quantities include the U.S., Australia, Peru and Russia.
Read the full article »
With the stock market wobbling along, you may be curious about getting started with gold investing. However, life is busy and there are many demands on your time. You don’t have time for anything that is going to be crazily complex or incredibly time consuming.
Fortunately, it is easy to start gold investing. You don’t need extensive training and you don’t have to jump through loads of hoops on your way to making your first purchase. In fact, if you can pick up a phone, you are already most of the way there. Read the full article »
When considering the purchase of gold bars, it is a good idea to take the time to educate yourself about this form of gold so that you can make the smartest investment possible. This includes understanding the various sizes and types of gold bars that are available for purchase and the advantages and disadvantages of each type.
Gold in all forms is measured in a form known as a troy ounce. The purity of gold is measured in a form known as karat. This is not the same type of measurement that is used to measure diamonds. The form that is used to measure the weight of diamonds is carat rather than karat. Read the full article »